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制高点-第8部分

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millionaires; and less equality。
  旁白:为了使经济复苏,约瑟夫鼓吹英国需要冒更大的风险,这意味着更多的破产、更多的百万富翁和更少的平等。
  CECIL PARKINSON: The audience would sort of gasp。 They'd never heard anybody challenging the consensus。
  CECIL PARKINSON:听众将有些惊讶。他们从未听过有人挑战主流意见。
  KEITH JOSEPH: Mild inflation seemed a painless way of maintaining full employment; encouraging growth; and expanding the social services。 So the result is that we're now more socialist in many ways than any other developed country outside the munist bloc。
  基思。约瑟夫:温和的通货膨胀似乎是保持充分就业、鼓励增长和扩大社会服务的一种无痛苦方式。结果是我们今天在许多方面都比共产主义集团以外的任何发达国家更接近社会主义。
  RALPH HARRIS: He used to be smuggled in the back door。 He was genuinely hurt that the students had reacted to this penetrating argument by chucking flour bombs at him。
  拉尔夫。哈里斯:他过去常常被从后门偷偷带进来。学生们对他尖锐的观点报之以面粉团,这真正伤害了他。
  MARK GARNETT: It was almost a badge of honor that he would e away from these meetings with egg yolk running down his suit。
  MARK GARNETT:他离开会场时衣服上带着打破的鸡蛋,这几乎成了他的荣誉勋章。
  NARRATOR: Keith Joseph's most significant adherent was an up…and…ing Conservative politician named Margaret Thatcher。 In Parliament and politics; Thatcher's closest friends agree that Keith Joseph's influence on her was crucial。
  旁白:基思。约瑟夫最重要的信徒是一位崭露头角的保守党政治家-玛格丽特。撒切尔。撒切尔在议会两院以及政治生涯中的密友都承认基思。约瑟夫对她的影响极其重要。
  NIGEL VINSON; Institute of Economic Affairs: She relied on him to give her deep intellectual support。 There's nothing wrong with intuition。 Intuition is reason in a hurry; and Keith just supported and reinforced her intuition。 At the very moment; she needed that support。
  NIGEL VINSON,经济问题研究所:她依靠他来获取深度的思想支持。直觉没有错,直觉是理由,而基思恰恰支持和加强了她的直觉。在非常深刻,她需要这种支持。
  NARRATOR: Margaret Thatcher had a gut instinct for market economics。 Her father had been a grocer; and when she was a girl; she had helped him in the shop。 Hardworking and studious; she won a place at Oxford University; where she became interested in student politics。
  旁白:玛格丽特。撒切尔对市场经济有一种本能的直觉。她的父亲是杂货店主;当撒切尔还是个少女时,她就已经在店里帮忙了。苦干和勤学使她得以进入牛津大学学习,在那里她开始政治感兴趣。
  While she was at Oxford; she read Hayek's Road to Serfdom。 It made a lasting impression on her。 Years later; when she became the first woman to lead the Conservative Party; she once slammed Hayek's book down on a table and announced; ";This is what we believe。";
  她在牛津的时候就阅读了哈耶克的《通往奴役的道路》,这给她留下了长久的印象。多年以后,当她成为保守党的第一位女领袖时,她曾经猛地将哈耶克的书拍在桌子上,宣布:“这是我的信仰。”
  RALPH HARRIS: (laughs) Thatcher's office came on and said could she e and drop in to see him。 And so she called by; and there was a period of unaccustomed silence from Margaret Thatcher as she sat there; intense; attending to the master's words。
  拉尔夫。哈里斯:(笑)撒切尔的办公室人员来到说她可否来顺道拜访他。于是她就来顺道拜访了,她坐在那里不同寻常的沉默了一段时间,专注于主人的谈话。
  NARRATOR: By 1974; Hayek sensed the world beginning to go his way。
  旁白:到1974年的时候,哈耶克感觉到世界开始按他的方式出发。
  FRIEDRICH VON HAYEK (interviewed in 1978): As for the movement of intellectual opinion is concerned; it is now for the first time in my life moving in the right direction。
  哈耶克(1978年的采访):就所关心的思想观点运动来说,现在是我生命中第一次朝正确的方向运动。
  Onscreen title: Stockholm; 1974
  字幕标题:斯德哥尔摩,1974年
  NARRATOR: In the battle of ideas; 1974 was a turning point。 Hayek's Nobel Prize came as a surprise; but the balance was now shifting away from Keynes and towards Hayek。
  旁白:在思想的战争中,1974年是一个转折点。哈耶克获得诺贝尔奖令人惊讶,但是天平现在正从凯恩斯一方向哈耶克一方倾斜。
  FRIEDRICH VON HAYEK: I like to say when I was a young man; only the very old men still believed in the free…market system。 When I was in my middle ages I myself and nobody else believed in it。 And now I have the pleasure of having lived long enough to see that the young people again believe in it。 And that is a very important change。
  哈耶克:我想说我年轻时,只有很老的人才相信自由市场体系;我中年时除了我自己以外没有人相信它;现在我很高兴活得够长能看到年轻人再次信奉它。这是一个非常重要的变化。
  

Chapter 14: Deregulation Takes Off '7:29'
第十四章:取消管制
  Onscreen title: Chicago; 1974
  字幕标题:芝加哥,1974年
  NARRATOR: The 
  旁白:美国经济正经历着自大萧条以后最严重的低迷时期。工业发展缓慢;失业上升;阿拉伯石油禁运后接踵而来的是赎罪日战争。美国人排队等待购买汽油;所有的价格都在上涨。
  Chicago School economists had always argued that rigid government regulations were keeping prices high and fueling inflation。 Now more people began to wonder if petition could break the inflationary stranglehold。
  芝加哥学派的经济学家一直争论说政府的硬性规章使价格居高不下,助长了通货膨胀。现在更多的人开始想知道竞争是否能够打破通货膨胀的束缚。
  SAM PELTZMAN: What is the effect of regulating the airlines? What is the effect of regulating the trucking industry? And what is the effect of regulating the railroad industry? Very often; it raises prices。 Instead of allowing petition; it suppresses petition。
  SAM PELTZMAN:管制航线的影响是什么?管制火车运输业的影响是什么?管制铁路的影响是什么?管制常常引起价格上涨。与允许竞争相反,它抑制了竞争。
  Onscreen title: Washington; ; 1974
  字幕标题:华盛顿,1974年
  NARRATOR: In the airline industry; the host of regulations enacted during the Great Depression were still in force。 It was a classic example of regulated capitalism。 But deregulation was in the air。
  旁白:大萧条时期针对航空业制定的许多规章制度至今仍然有效。这是管制资本主义的一个典型例子。但是违反规定的情况有可能发生。
  Stephen Breyer; now a Supreme Court justice; then a Harvard professor; was asked by liberal Democratic senator Ted Kennedy to head a Senate investigation of airline regulations。
  现任最高法院法官的Stephen Breyer那时是哈佛大学的一名教授,应自由主义者-民主党参议员Ted Kennedy的请求主持一项关于航空业规章制度的调查研究。
  STEPHEN BREYER; : You discovered that basically the same firms that had been there in 1938 were still there。 Those were the major carriers and nobody new。
  STEPHEN BREYER,美国最高法院法官:我们发现自从1938年以来基本就是那些公司存在,它们是主要的航空公司,没有新进入者。
  NARRATOR: The hearings began; and officials from the Civil Aeronautics Board were called to testify。
  旁白:听证开始了;美国民用航空局的官员被召来作证。
  STEPHEN BREYER: And it turned out that 5 percent of their time went to stop prices that were too high and 95 percent of their time went to stop prices that were too low; but always the effort was to keep the price high and not low。
  STEPHEN BREYER:事实证明他们5%的时间用来调整过高的价格,95%的时间用来调整过低的价格,但是调整价格的努力总是使价格处于高位而不是低位。
  NARRATOR: Naturally; the established airlines were quite happy with this arrangement。
  旁白:自然,已存在的航空公司对此非常高兴。
  STEPHEN BREYER: And we'd say; ";When was the last time you granted a new route? Well?";
  STEPHEN BREYER:我们要说:“什么时候你们才最后批准新路线?啊?”
  NARRATOR: Regulations meant that major carriers like Pan Am never had to pete with newers。 But some cut…price charter flight operators wanted to break this club。 Leading the struggle against Pan Am over its profitable trans…Atlantic flights was an exuberant Englishman called Freddie Laker。
  旁白:规章制度意味着主要的航空公司,比如泛美航空公司,永远不必和新进入者竞争。但是一些打折的包机飞行经营者希望打破这个俱乐部。一位名叫Freddie Laker 的活力充沛的英国人领导了反对泛美航空公司有利可图的横跨大西洋航线的斗争。
  FREDDY LAKER: I'm Freddy Laker。 I own Laker Airways; and I'm dedicated to low…cost air travel。 With Laker you can fly round trip to the USA or Canada in one of our wide…bodied DC…10s for less than half the price of a normal economy ticket。 Look; I've got to give you a better deal …… I've got my name on every plane。
  FREDDY LAKER:我是Freddy Laker。我拥有Laker航线,致力于降低空中旅行的费用。选择Laker,你可以乘坐我们的道尔-10s飞机作到美国或者加拿大的往返飞行,而价格还不到正常经济舱机票价格的一半。看,我在每架飞机上都留下了我的名字。
  STEPHEN BREYER: The Transportation Department said that this may hurt Pan Am。 And Freddy Laker testified and said; ";The cause of this whole thing is 'Panamania。'"; So we said; ";What is that?"; And he said; ";Well; everybody should do everything for Pan Am。";
  STEPHEN BREYER:运输部认为这可能会损害泛美航空公司。Freddy Laker作证时说:“整件事的原因就是‘Panamania’。”我们问“那是什么意思?";他回答说:“噢,所有的人都应该为泛美航空公司的利益服务。”
  NARRATOR: The man who was to sweep away airline regulations is a lifelong Gilbert and Sullivan fan。 Improbably enough; the bearded poet is played by Fred Kahn; a professor at Cornell University。
  旁白:这个将要消除航线管制的男人毕生都是吉尔伯特和沙利文迷。难以相信的是,这位留胡子诗人的角色是由Fred Kahn-康奈尔大学的一位教授-来扮演的。
  Kahn wanted a leaner; meaner regulatory environment in which the market was free to chase profits without the dead weight of bloated government。 Democratic president Jimmy Carter made Kahn head of the Civil Aeronautics Board。 Kahn had spent years studying government regulation; now he had a chance to do something about it。
  Kahn想做个倾斜,意即调整环境使市场可以自由追逐利润却没有傲慢政府这个累赘。民主党总统吉米。卡特任命Kahn为民用航空局局长。Kahn已经花了数年时间来研究政府的规章制度;现在他有机会做些什么了。
  ALFRED KAHN; Civil Aeronautics Board; 1977…1978: When I got to the Civil Aeronauts Board; the biggest division under me was the division of enforcement …… in effect; FBI agents who would go around and seek out secret discounts and then impose fines。 We would discipline them。 It was illegal to pete in price。 That means it was illegal to pete in the discounts you offer travel agents。 So we regulated travel agents' discounts。 Internationally; since they couldn't cut rates; they peted by having more and more sumptuous meals。 We actually regulated the size of sandwiches。
  ALFRED KAHN,民用航空局,1977-1978年:当我到民用航空局上任时,我手下最大的一个部门是强制执行部门-实际上就是FBI探员,他们四处侦察,搜出有秘密折扣行为的公司然后罚款。我们强制大家执行规定。价格竞争是违法的,这意味着在提供给旅行代办人的折扣上竞争是违法的。因此我们管制旅行代办人的折扣。国际上,既然不能降价,他们就靠越来越奢侈的食品来竞争。我们事实上管制的是三明治的大小。
  NARRATOR: By the time Kahn had finished; the 
  旁白:到Kahn卸任时,民用航空局除了关门之外已经没剩下什么事情可作。
  SPOKESMAN FOR THE CIVIL AERONAUTICS BOARD: petition is the rule; and because of it; the consumers are better served than ever。
  民用航空局发言人:竞争是规则,所以消费者将得到比以往更好的服务。
  NARRATOR: Airline deregulation led to painful turbulence as new carriers came and went。 Like her father; Judith Hamill works in the airline industry。
  旁白:随着新航空公司的进入和推出,航空业取消管制引起了痛苦的振荡。Judith Hamill和她的父亲一样在航空业就职。
  JUDITH HAMILL; Administrator; Chicago O'Hare Airport: My dad was a jet mechanic with Braniff。 At the age of 59 he found that his skills were no longer desirable or needed。 When Braniff came back because of the duty to hire; he came back at half the salary that he had made before。 When you live by the rules and then the rules change; it's sad。
  JUDITH HAMILL,芝加哥O'Hare机场管理员:我父亲是布兰尼夫喷气飞机机师。59岁时他发现他的技术再也不需要了。当布兰尼夫因雇用义务而恢复的时候,他也回来了,但薪水只有以前的一半。当你靠规则生活而规则又发生变化的时候,那是很悲惨的。
  NARRATOR: But 20 years later; the industry was employing two times as many people to fly almost three times as many passengers。
  旁白:但是二十年后,这个行业的雇员是原来的两倍,乘客则几乎是原来的三倍。
  STEPHEN BREYER: The industry vastly underest
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